Codex reset signals
The three live inputs behind the reset-probability numbers on the home page. See /forecast-method/ for exact weights and decay.
X hints
Weight 55% · score 0/100 · as of
Resolved — a reset was recorded after this post.
Ladies and gentlemen... start... your... ENGINES. We are almost Tuesday and I promised a reset for Tuesday. Among some other things. See you soon.
Source ↗ ·
OpenAI status
Weight 25% · score 0/100 · as of
Codex GitHub Review and Pull Request Failures
Elevated error rates for Codex and ChatGPT Work
GitHub complaints
Weight 0% · score 0/100 · as of
Context only: a backtest found complaint volume doesn't lead resets, so it's weighted 0 in the forecast (why).
Frequently asked questions
What are these three signals?
Recent public hints about a reset, OpenAI's own status feed, and GitHub issue activity on openai/codex — the three inputs to the probability numbers on the home page. See /forecast-method/ for exact weights and decay.
Why is a signal showing 'stale'?
Each signal is only trusted for a limited window after it was last fetched; once too old, it's marked stale and decays toward zero influence rather than being silently dropped or held fixed.